Essendon Royals (W) vs Box Hill (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Essendon Royals (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Essendon Royals (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Essendon Royals (W)'s attacking profile.
Essendon Royals (W) – Box Hill (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | EPS - P-Iirot | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W) | 2.47 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2.38 | 3.15% |