Model: TIPPSH

CF Os Belenenses vs SC Farense

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 11:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 41d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.96% · n=84

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 41d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CF Os Belenenses. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CF Os Belenenses

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.80Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.77Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CF Os BelenensesHOME

SC FarenseAWAY

DLWWD

Recent form

DWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.40

Shots on target for

6.00

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.40

Home splitD-W-D-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-W1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.96% based on n=84 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga Play-Offs (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.96% · n=84

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market prices CF Os Belenenses as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. CF Os Belenenses is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.0% 7D: 29.6% 15D: 20.5% 30D: 5.7%

Model insight

CF Os Belenenses – SC Farense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.96% and 7.96%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample8

Win Rate12.5%

Profit-5.37u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Paraguay - Australia	2.91	7.96%
LOSS	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)	2.75	7.96%
LOSS	Haras El Hedoud - Petrojet	2.87	7.96%
LOSS	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal	2.63	6.90%
LOSS	Escola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U19	2.70	6.90%
WIN	Fencibles United - Auckland FC II	2.63	6.90%
LOSS	Hobro IK - AaB	2.65	6.90%
LOSS	Provincial Ovalle - Concon National	2.70	6.90%

Pick

1 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 11:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.96% • n=84

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.96% • n=84

Start

Started 41d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 41d 19h ago