Puerto Rico Surf SC – Ponce FC

Model: TIPPSH

Puerto Rico Surf SC vs Ponce FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.46
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 28, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 46d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puerto Rico Surf SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puerto Rico Surf SC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.46Now
Max odds2.49Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puerto Rico Surf SCHOME
VS
Ponce FCAWAY
WWWWW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.60
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.20
Shots on target for
6.25
2.67
SoT conceded pressure
4.75
8.67
Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-W2.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Puerto Rico League (pr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.46
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Puerto Rico Surf SC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Puerto Rico Surf SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.8% 7D: 27.3% 15D: 25.1% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Puerto Rico Surf SC – Ponce FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample75
Win Rate48.0%
Profit+11.04u
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Pick
1 @ 2.46
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 46d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 5h ago
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