Model: TipTromba3H

Moggill vs Yeronga FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 31, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 52d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.71% · n=50

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.71% · n=50

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 52d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Moggill. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MoggillGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.79Now

Max odds2.80Highest point

Min odds2.20Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MoggillHOME

Yeronga FCAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

Avg goals scored

2.20

3.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

4.00

Shots on target for

7.40

N/A

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

N/A

Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.71% based on n=50 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 3 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.75

V2 BandLOWROI 0.71% · n=50

V4 BandLOWROI 0.71% · n=50

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 26.5% 7D: 25.3% 15D: 23.5% 30D: 9.9%

Model insight

Moggill – Yeronga FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.71% and 0.71%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample52

Win Rate30.8%

Profit-9.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	AB Copenhagen - B93 Copenhagen	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	EBK - P-Iirot	2.55	0.03%
LOSS	De Graafschap - Telstar	2.70	0.03%
WIN	Sao Goncalo - Volta Redonda	2.75	0.71%
LOSS	FC Salzburg - Istanbul Basaksehir	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	St Patricks - Doncaster	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	FC Bulle - Stade Nyonnais	2.50	0.03%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2.63	0.03%

Pick

1 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Mag 31, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.71% • n=50

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.71% • n=50

Start

Started 52d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 52d 21h ago