Model: TipTromba2H

Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves vs Mandurah City FC Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 45d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Murdoch University Melville FC ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current1.50Now

Max odds2.27Highest point

Min odds1.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Murdoch University Melville FC ReservesHOME

Mandurah City FC ReservesAWAY

LLDWW

Recent form

WLDWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.80

Shots on target for

8.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

5.25

Home splitL-L-W-L-L1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia WA State League 1 Reserves (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 9.8% 7D: -4.7% 15D: 15.0% 30D: 13.1%

Model insight

Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves – Mandurah City FC Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample54

Win Rate72.2%

Profit+9.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - FH/IH U19	1.75	7.35%
WIN	Sporting - Strasbourg	1.62	6.49%
WIN	Avondale FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)	1.50	6.49%
LOSS	FC LeKi - TP-T	1.60	6.49%
WIN	NEC - V-Varen Nagasaki	1.62	6.49%
WIN	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)	1.67	7.81%
WIN	Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC	1.73	6.49%
WIN	Dalvik/Reynir (W) - Alftanes (W)	1.53	6.49%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Palmeiras U20 (W) - Audax SP U20 (W)	1	1.75	7.35%	22 Jul 20:00

Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Started 45d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 21h ago