Model: TIPPSH
Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 11d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Burkina Faso (W) | Mali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-D-L | D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-D (home) | D-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.75 for / 3.25 against | 3.67 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 3.67 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.1%
7D: -12.8%
15D: 1.9%
30D: 12.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.36First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.36Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Burkina Faso (W) – Mali (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate47.4%
Profit+4.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Atletico Goianiense U20 - Goias U20 | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Villa Espanola - Villa Teresa | 2.65 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Hedensted IF - Norresundby | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Baranovichi - FC Minsk | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Brunswick City - Eltham Redbacks | 2.60 | 2.49% |
| WIN | FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) - Diosa Izumo (W) | 2.77 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Sydney FC U21 - NWS Spirit FC | 2.55 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | JJK - VJS Vantaa | 2.78 | 4.53% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan Trans Corp - Gyeongju HNP | 1 | 2.74 | 2.49% | 21 Jun 07:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 11d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 16h ago