Model: TipTromba5H

EC Juventude U20 vs Bahia U20

PREDICTION

@ 4.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 10, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 55d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is EC Juventude U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EC Juventude U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.70First seen

Current4.67Now

Max odds4.67Highest point

Min odds3.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EC Juventude U20HOME

Bahia U20AWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

LWDWL

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.40

Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-W2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.50

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=123

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to EC Juventude U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 43.2% 7D: -3.7% 15D: -0.6% 30D: 14.0%

Model insight

EC Juventude U20 – Bahia U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.25% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate26.5%

Profit+7.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Burkina Faso (W) - South Africa (W)	4.50	6.25%
LOSS	TJ Dvorniky - Vcelare - Spartak Medzev	4.50	6.25%
WIN	FK Klasterec nad Ohri - FK Ostrov	4.50	6.25%
LOSS	Solihull Moors - Northampton	4.50	7.29%
LOSS	Royale Union Hutoise - RFC Meux	4.50	7.29%
WIN	Marino de Luanco - Real Aviles CF	4.50	6.25%
LOSS	Shrewsbury - West Brom	4.75	7.69%
WIN	Aveley - Braintree Town	4.50	6.25%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Gimnastica Segoviana - Valladolid	1	4.75	7.69%	05 Aug 19:00
Cavese - Juve Stabia	1	4.75	7.69%	06 Aug 20:30

Pick

1 @ 4.50

Kickoff

Giu 10, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.25% • n=123

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.25% • n=123

Start

Started 55d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 10h ago