Model: TipTromba35H
Estrella del Sur Reserves – CA Claypole Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.12
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 11, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 9d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 18h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.06Now
Max odds3.06Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Estrella del Sur Reserves | CA Claypole Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-L-L | W-W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-L-L (home) | W-L-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded | 0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 4.00 against | 4.00 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.60 for / 3.40 against (home) | 4.60 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 46.8%
7D: 7.9%
15D: 0.0%
30D: 15.3%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.12. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Reserve League (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd3.12
V2 BandLOWROI 0.01% · n=821
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Estrella del Sur Reserves – CA Claypole Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.12. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.01% across 821 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample54
Win Rate20.4%
Profit-20.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Banga Gargzdai - FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Huracan (W) - Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Lam Dong - CLB Bong da Hue | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Avarta - Ringsted IF | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | FC Robo (W) - Bayelsa Queens FC (W) | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Puerto Nuevo - Centro Espanol | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Kazakhstan U19 - Greece U19 | 3.15 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Cerro Largo Reserves - Torque Reserves | 3.00 | 0.01% |
Pick
1 @ 3.12
Kickoff
Giu 11, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.01% • n=821
Start
Started 9d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 18h ago