Model: TipTromba35H
Minas Boca U20 – Sao Joao del Rei U20
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 7d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.24First seen
Current3.19Now
Max odds3.24Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Minas Boca U20 | Sao Joao del Rei U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L-W | W-D-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-D (home) | W-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 4.80 against | 4.00 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 3.67 against (home) | 4.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Minas Boca U20. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Minas Boca U20's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -21.2%
7D: -13.2%
15D: -4.3%
30D: 10.8%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd3.10
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
Model insight
Minas Boca U20 – Sao Joao del Rei U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample122
Win Rate28.7%
Profit-11.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vitoria BA U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Skjetten - Alta | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Slovan Bratislava B - AS Trencin | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Inter Miami CF II - Carolina Core FC | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Promex Harlem United SC - We United FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Rangers (W) - Deportes Concepcion (W) | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Caboolture FC U23 - Brisbane Strikers U23 | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Kingborough Lions - South Hobart | 3.25 | 4.14% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paisley Athletic (W) - Long Island Rough Riders Women | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 23 Jun 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Start
Started 7d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 8d ago