Kingborough Lions – South Hobart

Model: TipTromba35H

Kingborough Lions vs South Hobart

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 7:15 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 42d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kingborough Lions. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kingborough LionsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.46Highest point
Min odds2.86Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kingborough LionsHOME
VS
South HobartAWAY
DWWWW
Recent form
DWWDW
Avg goals scored
4.80
3.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.00
Shots on target for
10.60
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
2.80
Home splitD-W-W-W2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-W-W3.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.32. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.32
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Kingborough Lions shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Kingborough Lions has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.5% 7D: -13.8% 15D: -6.3% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Kingborough Lions – South Hobart Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.32. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample167
Win Rate27.5%
Profit-16.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHartlepool - Fleetwood Town3.334.14%
WINFeyenoord - Atalanta3.304.14%
WINAthletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa3.254.14%
LOSSItabirito U20 - Athletic Club MG U203.404.14%
LOSSColeraine - HJK Helsinki3.403.56%
LOSSKomeetat - JJK/23.302.05%
WINKTS Weszlo - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki3.102.17%
WINDeportes Concepcion - Universidad Catolica3.404.14%
Pick
1 @ 3.32
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 7:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 42d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 17h ago
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