Model: TipA1
Maranhao – Paysandu
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.90
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 4h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Maranhao | Paysandu |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-L-W | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L-W-D (home) | L-L-W-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 3.60 against | 5.80 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.80 for / 2.80 against (home) | 4.20 for / 6.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Paysandu's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -21.4%
7D: -20.4%
15D: -6.8%
30D: 8.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds3.02Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Maranhao – Paysandu Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample47
Win Rate27.7%
Profit-9.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions | 2.75 | 0.48% |
| WIN | Malvern City - Essendon Royals | 2.70 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Quinns FC - Curtin University SC | 3.10 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | El Paso Locomotive FC - Phoenix Rising FC | 3.10 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | CD Torrijos - Sporting Alcazar | 2.80 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Poblense - Aguilas | 2.80 | 0.48% |
| WIN | JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Guillermo Brown - CA Alvarado | 3.00 | 0.48% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions | 2 | 3.10 | 0.48% | 19 Jun 12:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403
Start
Starts in 3d 4h
Updated
Updated 10m ago