Tallinna JK Legion – Parnu JK Vaprus II

Model: TipTromba12H

Tallinna JK Legion vs Parnu JK Vaprus II

PREDICTION
1
@ 11.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 22, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 44d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.24% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tallinna JK Legion. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tallinna JK LegionGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.40First seen
Current11.00Now
Max odds14.00Highest point
Min odds6.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Tallinna JK LegionHOME
VS
Parnu JK Vaprus IIAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WDWLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.60
Defensive weakness
4.80
2.20
Shots on target for
4.60
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
11.60
7.80
Home splitL-L-L-W-L1.00 scored / 3.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-W2.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 11.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.24% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd11.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.24% · n=29
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Tallinna JK Legion. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 1.8% 7D: -3.2% 15D: -7.3% 30D: 5.7%
Model insight

Tallinna JK Legion – Parnu JK Vaprus II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 11.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.24% across 29 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-14.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSACS Viitorul Cluj - SCM Zalau11.00-3.65%
LOSSFC Zurich (W) - Freiburg (W)11.00-3.65%
LOSSLanciano - Bari11.00-3.86%
LOSSEC Tupy - Estrela do Norte11.00-3.65%
LOSSCumberland United - Heidelberg Utd11.00-1.24%
LOSSCD Derio - Athletic Bilbao11.00-1.24%
LOSSSevlievo (W) - NSA Sofia (W)11.00-1.24%
LOSSFerrymead Bays - Cashmere Technical11.00-3.65%
Pick
1 @ 11.00
Kickoff
Giu 22, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.24% • n=29
Start
Started 44d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 13h ago
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