Model: TipTromba3H

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Tai'an Tiankuang

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 23h 52m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.80Now

Max odds2.90Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanxi Chongde RonghaiHOME

Tai'an TiankuangAWAY

DDWLW

Recent form

LDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

4.80

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

1.60

Home splitD-L-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-L-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.49% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.80

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.49% · n=299

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -74.3% 7D: -1.9% 15D: -2.6% 30D: -1.1%

Model insight

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai – Tai’an Tiankuang Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.49% across 299 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample95

Win Rate35.8%

Profit-2.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Auckland FC II - Western Springs AFC	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	FC Gori - FC Gareji	2.55	2.55%
LOSS	Atlantis FC/PM - MPS/Atletico Malmi	2.63	2.55%
LOSS	Sportivo Italiano Reserves - Deportivo Merlo Reserves	2.90	4.49%
LOSS	Vancouver Whitecaps II - North Texas SC	2.88	4.49%
LOSS	Racing de Casablanca - Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U21	2.75	4.49%

Pick

1 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.49% • n=299

Start

Starts in 23h 52m

Updated

Updated 5h 9m ago