Model: TipTromba2H

Upper Hutt City vs Waterside Karori

PREDICTION

@ 1.67

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 13h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Upper Hutt City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Upper Hutt City

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.67First seen

Current1.67Now

Max odds1.67Highest point

Min odds1.67Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Upper Hutt CityHOME

Waterside KaroriAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

DWDLD

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.00

Shots on target for

6.80

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

6.00

Home splitL-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L0.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.67

V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Upper Hutt City as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Upper Hutt City is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.5% 7D: -28.9% 15D: -11.4% 30D: -3.4%

Model insight

Upper Hutt City – Waterside Karori Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample325

Win Rate65.5%

Profit+17.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Greenisland (W) - Ballyclare Comrades (W)	1.65	-3.82%
WIN	Hamar Hveragerdi - Ellidi	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	Shenzhen 2028 - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dinamo Batumi	1.73	-3.82%
LOSS	FC Elimai Semey - FK Atyrau	1.65	-1.89%
LOSS	Kawempe Muslim FC (W) - Kampala Queens (W)	1.50	-1.89%
WIN	Kjelsas U19 - Sprint/Jeløy U19	1.57	-3.38%
LOSS	Bigfoot FC (W) - Tacoma Galaxy (W)	1.62	-3.38%

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Pick

1 @ 1.67

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.89% • n=1157

Start

Starts in 1d 13h

Updated

Updated 9m ago