Serrano vs Sao Goncalo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sao Goncalo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sao GoncaloGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Sao Goncalo shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Sao Goncalo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Serrano – Sao Goncalo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Lyn 1896 II - Fram | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Weston Super Mare - Chesham | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Kings Lynn Town - Harborough Town | 3.00 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Estudiantes Merida - Zamora | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 3.10 | 5.52% |
| WIN | Vizela - Celta Fortuna | 2.88 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Velo Clube U20 - SC Paulinense U20 | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| LOSS | Al Sahel SC - Khaitan | 2.90 | 5.52% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFK Malzenice - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 2 | 3.10 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 10:30 |
| Valur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri | 2 | 2.88 | 5.52% | 16 Aug 21:15 |