Alloa vs Livingston
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alloa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlloaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.10% based on n=135 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Alloa. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Alloa's attacking profile.
Alloa – Livingston Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | GrIFK Reservi - ESPA | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Clyde - Dunfermline | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | Olympia FC Warriors - South Hobart Reserves | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Union Minas - AD Tarma | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Cong An Ha Noi II - CLB Bong da Hue | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Bragantino (W) - Corinthians (W) | 5.25 | 7.22% |
| LOSS | CSA Steaua Bucuresti - ACS Sepsi | 5.00 | 5.00% |