Olimpia Grudziadz – Petrolul Ploiesti

Model: TIPPSH

Olimpia Grudziadz vs Petrolul Ploiesti

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 30, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 6h 40m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.54% · n=17
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.54% · n=17
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Olimpia Grudziadz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Olimpia Grudziadz

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current6.00Now
Max odds6.00Highest point
Min odds4.02Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Olimpia GrudziadzHOME
VS
Petrolul PloiestiAWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LLDDL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.80
Shots on target for
6.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.80
Home splitW-L-D-W-L2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W1.25 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.54% based on n=17 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.54% · n=17
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.54% · n=17
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Olimpia Grudziadz shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Olimpia Grudziadz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 123.1% 7D: 15.5% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 0.2%
Model insight

Olimpia Grudziadz – Petrolul Ploiesti Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.54% and 2.54%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNingbo Professional FC - Chongqing Tonglianglong5.502.54%
LOSSKMG Holdings - Veroskronos Tsuno5.312.98%
Pick
1 @ 5.25
Kickoff
Giu 30, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.54% • n=17
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.54% • n=17
Start
Started 6h 40m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 50m ago
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