Model: TipTromba2H

Dalvik/Reynir (W) vs Alftanes (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 11h 22m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dalvik/Reynir (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dalvik/Reynir (W)

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.53First seen

Current1.53Now

Max odds1.55Highest point

Min odds1.53Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dalvik/Reynir (W)HOME

Alftanes (W)AWAY

WLL

Recent form

LLLLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.40

Defensive weakness

2.67

5.00

Shots on target for

3.67

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.67

13.80

Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L0.25 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild Women. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Dalvik/Reynir (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.0% 7D: 65.4% 15D: 30.6% 30D: 10.6%

Model insight

Dalvik/Reynir (W) – Alftanes (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample48

Win Rate70.8%

Profit+7.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC	1.73	6.49%
WIN	Sao Bento U20 - America SP U20	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	Flamengo - River Plate	1.75	6.89%
WIN	Treze U20 - Queimadense U20	1.53	6.49%
WIN	FC Copenhagen - Mjällby AIF	1.67	6.49%
WIN	Caroline Springs George Cross U23 - Dandenong City U23	1.57	6.49%
WIN	St.Michael/Lavanttal - SV Rothenthurn	1.75	6.89%
WIN	Broadbeach United U23 - St George Willawong U23	1.57	6.49%

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Started 11h 22m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 14h ago