CA Douglas Haig vs Sportivo Las Parejas
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CA Douglas Haig. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CA Douglas HaigValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Torneo A (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CA Douglas Haig's attacking profile.
CA Douglas Haig – Sportivo Las Parejas Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SK Sturm Graz - FC Kosice | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | FK Jablonec - FK Usti nad Labem | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - St Croix SC (W) | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Kultsu FC - MiPK | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Deportivo Garcilaso - Deportivo Binacional | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Italy U19 - Serbia U19 | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Union Luxembourg - FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 04 Jul 07:00 |
| Lions FC (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W) | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 04 Jul 09:15 |
| Fukuyama City FC - SRC Hiroshima | 1 | 1.53 | -1.89% | 04 Jul 11:00 |
| Midtjylland - Silkeborg IF | 1 | 1.50 | -3.82% | 04 Jul 13:00 |
| APIA Leichardt (W) - NWS Spirit (W) | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 05 Jul 08:50 |