Haverfordwest County – Hamilton

Model: TipTromba45H

Haverfordwest County vs Hamilton

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 04, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 6h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.97% · n=98
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haverfordwest County. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Haverfordwest County

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.00First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds4.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Haverfordwest CountyHOME
VS
HamiltonAWAY
LLDWW
Recent form
WDWDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
5.40
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
3.80
Home splitL-W3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-W-L2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.97% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.97% · n=98
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.97% · n=98
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 67.2% 7D: 82.4% 15D: 31.5% 30D: 12.5%
Model insight

Haverfordwest County – Hamilton Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.97% and 2.97%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate18.8%
Profit-3.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNairn County - Elgin4.004.86%
LOSSOdra Opole - MSK Zilina4.004.86%
LOSSKawasoe Club - Brew Saga4.004.86%
WINUS Yacoub El Mansour - Raja Casablanca4.004.86%
LOSSPotencia - CA Platense4.004.86%
LOSSAmerica RJ - XV Piracicaba4.102.97%
LOSSEhime FC (W) - Loveledge Nagoya (W)4.004.86%
LOSSIndonesia U19 - Australia U194.004.86%
Pick
1 @ 4.00
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.97% • n=98
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.97% • n=98
Start
Started 6h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 50m ago
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