Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki – AS Trencin

Model: TipA1

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs AS Trencin

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.40
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 07, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 17h 6m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AS Trencin. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AS Trencin

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.37First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds1.37Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiHOME
VS
AS TrencinAWAY
WLDDL
Recent form
LLWWW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
3.20
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.60
Home splitD-L-L-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.40
V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. AS Trencin is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -54.3% 7D: 29.9% 15D: 26.3% 30D: 15.6%
Model insight

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki – AS Trencin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample91
Win Rate36.3%
Profit-11.44u
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LOSSHinna - Brodd2.501.02%
LOSSThailand National Sports University - Chulalongkorn University2.551.02%
LOSSMurdoch University Melville FC - Inglewood United2.251.02%
Pick
2 @ 2.40
Kickoff
Lug 07, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648
Start
Starts in 17h 6m
Updated
Updated 55m ago
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