Model: TipA1

Real Oruro vs Universitario De Vinto

PREDICTION

@ 3.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 09, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultLOSS4 - 1

StartStarted 2d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.91% · n=112

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.91% · n=112

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universitario De Vinto. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universitario De Vinto

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.30First seen

Current3.51Now

Max odds3.51Highest point

Min odds2.90Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Real OruroHOME

Universitario De VintoAWAY

WLWDD

Recent form

LLWWD

Avg goals scored

2.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

3.00

1.80

Shots on target for

3.40

8.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

3.40

Home splitW-L-W-D-D2.60 scored / 2.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.91% based on n=112 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.30

V2 BandLOWROI 1.91% · n=112

V4 BandLOWROI 1.91% · n=112

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Universitario De Vinto has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -19.5% 7D: 14.6% 15D: 24.1% 30D: 13.6%

Model insight

Real Oruro – Universitario De Vinto Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.91% and 1.91%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample42

Win Rate26.2%

Profit-5.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
WIN	Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	Quinns FC - Curtin University SC	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	El Paso Locomotive FC - Phoenix Rising FC	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	CD Lujan - CSD Fontana	3.50	1.91%
LOSS	Craigavon City (W) - Mid Ulster (W)	3.40	1.91%
LOSS	KF Gjilani U21 - KF Drenica Skenderaj U21	3.10	0.48%

Pick

2 @ 3.30

Kickoff

Lug 09, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.91% • n=112

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.91% • n=112

Start

Started 2d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 13h ago