Guiseley vs Harrogate Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Guiseley. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: GuiseleyValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.97% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Guiseley's attacking profile.
Guiseley – Harrogate Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sandhausen - Kaiserslautern | 4.20 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | Haverfordwest County - Hamilton | 4.00 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | Nairn County - Elgin | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Odra Opole - MSK Zilina | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Kawasoe Club - Brew Saga | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| WIN | US Yacoub El Mansour - Raja Casablanca | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Potencia - CA Platense | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | America RJ - XV Piracicaba | 4.10 | 2.97% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch - Solihull Moors | 1 | 4.00 | 2.97% | 11 Jul 13:00 |