Boston Utd vs Lincoln City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Boston Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Boston UtdValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.22% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.
Boston Utd – Lincoln City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Helmond Sport - AEK Larnaca | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | KFG Gardabaer - UMF Selfoss | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Illawarra Stingrays (W) - Sydney University (W) | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Alloa - Livingston | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | GrIFK Reservi - ESPA | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Clyde - Dunfermline | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | Olympia FC Warriors - South Hobart Reserves | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | FC Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viimsi JK | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Humenne - FC Kosice | 1 | 5.00 | 7.10% | 11 Jul 10:30 |
| FC Deisenhofen - 1860 Munich | 1 | 5.25 | 5.22% | 11 Jul 17:24 |