Model: TipA1

Deportivo Moquegua vs Deportivo Garcilaso

PREDICTION

@ 2.55

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 12, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 14m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Garcilaso. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo Garcilaso

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.55Now

Max odds2.55Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo MoqueguaHOME

Deportivo GarcilasoAWAY

DWLDL

Recent form

WLDWD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

3.20

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.80

Home splitW-D-D-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.55. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Copa de la Liga (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.55

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Deportivo Garcilaso is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.9% 7D: 19.7% 15D: 39.2% 30D: 15.5%

Model insight

Deportivo Moquegua – Deportivo Garcilaso Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample101

Win Rate31.7%

Profit-21.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - AS Trencin	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Universitatea Cluj - Vojvodina	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	Santacruzense U23 - America SP U23	2.60	1.02%
LOSS	Futuro FC - Chimbarongo FC	2.35	1.02%
LOSS	Dalvik/Reynir - Fjardabyggd	2.80	0.48%
LOSS	CRAC - Tombense MG	2.40	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Wyvern FC - Kariya	2	2.50	1.02%	12 Jul 11:00

Pick

2 @ 2.55

Kickoff

Lug 12, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Starts in 20h 14m

Updated

Updated 1h 47m ago