Egham vs Chertsey Town
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Egham. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: EghamGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Egham. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Egham is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Egham – Chertsey Town Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Lokomotiva Kosice - Slavia TU Kosice | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Argentino de Rosario Reserves - Deportivo Espanol Reserves | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Malvern Town - Chippenham Town | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | NK Brezice U19 - NK Rudar Velenje U19 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Zira IK - Neftchi Baku | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Lyon II - Bourgoin Jallieu | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Hertha Berlin II - Hallescher FC | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | FC Arbaer - KA Asvellir | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HooGee - LoPa | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 03 Sep 19:15 |
| El Daklyeh - Pharco FC | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 04 Sep 15:30 |
| Hednesford - South Shields | 1 | 3.20 | 3.85% | 05 Sep 16:00 |