Model: TIPPSA

Widzew Lodz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

PREDICTION

@ 23.82

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 13, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 3

StartStarted 5h 20m ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 24m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Marchfeld Donauauen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds10.00First seen

Current23.82Now

Max odds23.82Highest point

Min odds10.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Widzew LodzHOME

FC Marchfeld DonauauenAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

LDDWW

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.60

Shots on target for

3.80

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

2.80

Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 23.82. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd23.82

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Marchfeld Donauauen has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%

Model insight

Widzew Lodz – FC Marchfeld Donauauen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 23.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 23.82

Kickoff

Lug 13, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 5h 20m ago

Updated

Updated 7h 24m ago