Model: TIPPSH

Denver Summit FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.44

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 14h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Denver Summit FC (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Denver Summit FC (W)

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.51First seen

Current2.44Now

Max odds2.51Highest point

Min odds2.44Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Denver Summit FC (W)HOME

Portland Thorns (W)AWAY

DLWLW

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.20

Shots on target for

4.60

7.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

6.60

Home splitD-L-W-L1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.44. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA NWSL Women (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.44

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Denver Summit FC (W). The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -79.8% 7D: 0.8% 15D: 19.5% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

Denver Summit FC (W) – Portland Thorns (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample89

Win Rate44.9%

Profit+5.32u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Spartans - Stirling	2.25	2.49%
WIN	EPS - P-Iirot	2.47	3.15%
WIN	Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO	2.47	3.15%
WIN	BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Nautico - EC Juventude	2.27	3.15%
WIN	Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez	2.41	2.49%
WIN	Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W)	2.52	2.49%
LOSS	Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W)	2.47	2.49%

Pick

1 @ 2.44

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323

Start

Starts in 3d 14h

Updated

Updated 9m ago