Model: TipTromba3H

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 19, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 19h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Newcastle Olympic FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Newcastle Olympic FC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.65Now

Max odds2.71Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Newcastle Olympic FCHOME

Belmont Swansea United SCAWAY

LWDLD

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

6.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.20

Home splitW-D-D-L-L2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-D2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=230

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Newcastle Olympic FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 64.0% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 19.1%

Model insight

Newcastle Olympic FC – Belmont Swansea United SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of 0.00% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate29.4%

Profit-3.97u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Buenos Aires City - Ezeiza	2.55	0.00%
WIN	East Fife - Morton	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Atletico Colegiales - 24 de Setiembre	2.55	0.00%
LOSS	FC Cascavel - Marcilio Dias	2.63	0.00%
LOSS	Dynamo Kiev - Slavia Prague	2.63	0.00%
WIN	Uribelarrea FC - Barrancas FC	2.70	0.00%
LOSS	Sollentuna United FF - FBK Karlstad	2.50	0.00%
LOSS	Jaguar Gdansk - Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski	2.50	0.00%

Active Similar Predictions

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Canterbury Bankstown FC - Blacktown Spartans	1	2.70	0.00%	18 Jul 09:00

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Lug 19, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=230

Start

Starts in 1d 19h

Updated

Updated 12m ago