Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newcastle Olympic FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Newcastle Olympic FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.074 | A: 0.116Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Newcastle Olympic FC – Belmont Swansea United SC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Central Espanol Reserves - Club Atletico Progreso Reserves | 2.51 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Rushall Olympic - Alvechurch | 2.39 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Wollongong Wolves U20 - Manly United U20 | 2.65 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | BDF XI - Nico United | 2.53 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Rakow Czestochowa U19 - Miedz Legnica U19 | 2.63 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Slovan Bratislava U19 - MSK Zilina U19 | 2.45 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Napoli - Como | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Gornik Leczna - Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 2.63 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halifax - Hartlepool | 1 | 2.50 | 2.49% | 01 Sep 20:45 |
| Gimhae FC 2008 - Jeonnam Dragons | 1 | 2.81 | 4.53% | 05 Sep 12:00 |
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 1 | 2.61 | 2.49% | 05 Sep 18:45 |