Pau – Tarbes Pyrenees

Model: TIPPSA

Pau vs Tarbes Pyrenees

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 17, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 1h 45m ago
V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tarbes Pyrenees. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tarbes Pyrenees

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.44First seen
Current5.01Now
Max odds6.00Highest point
Min odds2.44Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PauHOME
VS
Tarbes PyreneesAWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
WWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
3.00
Defensive weakness
2.80
0.67
Shots on target for
4.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
1.67
Home splitL-W1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.50. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.50
V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Tarbes Pyrenees. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Tarbes Pyrenees has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -16.0% 7D: -10.0% 15D: -5.5% 30D: 14.9%
Model insight

Pau – Tarbes Pyrenees Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Lug 17, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ?
Start
Started 1h 45m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 47m ago
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