Truro City – Exeter

Model: TipTromba5H

Truro City vs Exeter

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 5h 29m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Truro City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Truro City

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds4.50Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Truro CityHOME
VS
ExeterAWAY
WWWLL
Recent form
LLDDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
2.40
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.60
Home splitW-L-D0.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.05% based on n=66 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Truro City has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 2.9% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 0.4% 30D: 16.3%
Model insight

Truro City – Exeter Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.05% and 4.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate13.8%
Profit-10.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBoreham Wood - Watford4.753.53%
LOSSSutton Coldfield - Leamington4.504.05%
LOSSPinda FC U20 - Taubate U204.504.05%
WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSUS Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida4.503.71%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.05% • n=66
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.05% • n=66
Start
Started 5h 29m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 11m ago
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