Sutton Utd – AFC Wimbledon

Model: TipTromba6H

Sutton Utd vs AFC Wimbledon

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 7h 2m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.41% · n=31
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.41% · n=31
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sutton Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sutton Utd

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

80/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.00Now
Max odds5.00Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sutton UtdHOME
VS
AFC WimbledonAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
3.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
5.40
Home splitL-L-L0.67 scored / 2.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.41% based on n=31 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.00
V2 BandELITEROI 9.41% · n=31
V4 BandELITEROI 9.41% · n=31
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 2.9% 7D: 1.5% 15D: 0.4% 30D: 16.3%
Model insight

Sutton Utd – AFC Wimbledon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.41% and 9.41%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+3.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKSV Oudenaarde - Club Brugge II5.009.41%
WINLivingston - Hearts5.009.41%
WINAaB - Viborg5.258.20%
LOSSThitsar Arman FC (W) - Shan Utd (W)5.009.41%
LOSSJaPS (W) - KTP (W)5.0010.61%
LOSSRoPo - KPV5.259.08%
Pick
1 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.41% • n=31
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.41% • n=31
Start
Started 7h 2m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 44m ago
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