Model: TIPPSA

Bolivar vs Guabira

PREDICTION

@ 16.86

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 18, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultLOSS4 - 0

StartStarted 46d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guabira. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GuabiraGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds10.50First seen

Current16.86Now

Max odds18.50Highest point

Min odds10.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BolivarHOME

GuabiraAWAY

WDLLL

Recent form

LWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

4.00

Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-L-L1.20 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 16.86. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd16.86

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 22.5% 7D: 12.8% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 19.7%

Model insight

Bolivar – Guabira Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 16.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 16.86

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 46d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 10h ago