Union de Touarga – JS Massira

Model: TipTromba2H

Union de Touarga vs JS Massira

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 19h 1m ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.35% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union de Touarga. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union de TouargaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.054 | A: -0.133

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Union de TouargaHOME
VS
JS MassiraAWAY
WDWWD
Recent form
LDWLW
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.80
Shots on target for
5.20
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.60
Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L0.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.35% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Morocco Play-Offs (ma). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.35% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Union de Touarga, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Union de Touarga's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 49.9% 7D: 25.3% 15D: 16.9% 30D: 20.5%
Model insight

Union de Touarga – JS Massira Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.35% and 7.35%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample217
Win Rate59.4%
Profit+14.30u
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WINNankatsu SC - Toin Yokohama University1.807.35%
LOSSCA Atlanta U20 - Club Comunicaciones U201.857.35%
WINASK Voitsberg - NK Bistrica1.906.89%
LOSSToluca U19 (W) - Club America U19 (W)1.837.35%
LOSSShanghai Shenhua (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)1.916.17%
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Lug 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.35% • n=470
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.35% • n=470
Start
Started 19h 1m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 3m ago
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