Model: TipA1

Independiente Santa Fe vs Union Magdalena

PREDICTION

@ 8.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 21, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 1d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union Magdalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union MagdalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds6.50First seen

Current8.00Now

Max odds8.00Highest point

Min odds6.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Independiente Santa FeHOME

Union MagdalenaAWAY

WDWDW

Recent form

DDWLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.60

Shots on target for

3.80

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

2.20

Home splitW-D-W-D-W2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W1.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 8.00. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Colombia Cup (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd8.00

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Union Magdalena is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 51.2% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 22.4%

Model insight

Independiente Santa Fe – Union Magdalena Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 8.00

Kickoff

Lug 21, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 1d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago