Argentino de Rosario – Puerto Nuevo

Model: TIPPSA

Argentino de Rosario vs Puerto Nuevo

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 23, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 3h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puerto Nuevo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puerto NuevoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.042 | A: 0.063

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

54/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.36Now
Max odds3.38Highest point
Min odds2.71Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Argentino de RosarioHOME
VS
Puerto NuevoAWAY
DDLDD
Recent form
DLWWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.40
Shots on target for
2.60
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
1.80
Home splitD-D-D-W-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-W-L0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.34. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.77% based on n=237 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Primera C Metropolitana (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.34
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Puerto Nuevo has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.4% 7D: 33.1% 15D: 22.8% 30D: 22.9%
Model insight

Argentino de Rosario – Puerto Nuevo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate36.1%
Profit+7.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUniversitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta3.503.84%
LOSSWesterlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk3.344.77%
WINAnsan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC3.523.84%
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.34
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 3h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 9m ago
Torna in alto