Model: TIPPSA

FK Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia

PREDICTION

@ 6.41

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 23, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4h 50m

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSKA Sofia. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSKA SofiaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.051

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds6.41First seen

Current6.85Now

Max odds7.29Highest point

Min odds6.36Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK QarabagHOME

CSKA SofiaAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

4.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

3.00

Home splitW-L-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 6.41. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd6.41

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for CSKA Sofia. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. CSKA Sofia is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 12.6% 7D: 25.8% 15D: 23.0% 30D: 22.1%

Model insight

FK Qarabag – CSKA Sofia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 6.41. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 6.41

Kickoff

Lug 23, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Starts in 4h 50m

Updated

Updated 11m ago