Wolfsburg vs Lyon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Wolfsburg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: WolfsburgGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.114 | A: -0.051Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.10% based on n=135 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Wolfsburg's attacking profile.
Wolfsburg – Lyon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) - APLG Gdansk (W) | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Shandong B (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | FC Deisenhofen - 1860 Munich | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Boston Utd - Lincoln City | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | FK Humenne - FC Kosice | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | KFG Gardabaer - UMF Selfoss | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Alloa - Livingston | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| WIN | GrIFK Reservi - ESPA | 5.00 | 7.10% |