Model: TIPPSH

Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviaria SP U20

PREDICTION

@ 3.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 23m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=113

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mirassol U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mirassol U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.089 | A: 0.044

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.14First seen

Current3.53Now

Max odds4.14Highest point

Min odds3.53Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mirassol U20HOME

Ferroviaria SP U20AWAY

DDDDL

Recent form

DLWWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

7.40

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

4.40

Home splitD-D-L-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-W1.25 scored / 0.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.70

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=113

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Mirassol U20. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mirassol U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -9.1% 7D: 6.7% 15D: 11.3% 30D: 19.6%

Model insight

Mirassol U20 – Ferroviaria SP U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample6

Win Rate16.7%

Profit-2.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3.94	5.87%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19	3.90	5.87%
WIN	HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane	3.82	5.87%
LOSS	El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W)	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC	3.70	7.69%
LOSS	Wil 1900 - FC Vaduz	3.60	6.76%

Pick

1 @ 3.70

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=113

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.69% • n=113

Start

Started 23m ago

Updated

Updated 2h 27m ago