North Ferriby – Scunthorpe

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

North Ferriby vs Scunthorpe

PREDICTION
1
@ 17.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 28, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 12h 41m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.11% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is North Ferriby. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: North FerribyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.015 | A: -0.074

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds13.00First seen
Current17.00Now
Max odds17.00Highest point
Min odds13.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

North FerribyHOME
VS
ScunthorpeAWAY
DW
Recent form
LWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.50
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
2.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
1.00
5.00
Home splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 17.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.11% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd17.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.11% · n=16
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -22.6% 7D: -2.1% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 16.6%
Model insight

North Ferriby – Scunthorpe Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 17.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.11% across 16 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 17.00
Kickoff
Lug 28, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.11% • n=16
Start
Starts in 12h 41m
Updated
Updated 1h 12m ago
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