Model: TipA1

KV Vesturbaer vs Reynir Sandgerdi

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 29, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 53m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 23h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Reynir Sandgerdi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Reynir SandgerdiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: 0.026

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

22/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.21Now

Max odds2.28Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KV VesturbaerHOME

Reynir SandgerdiAWAY

DWWWW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.80

4.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

6.20

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

5.80

Home splitW-W-L-L-W2.80 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L3.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=691 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 3 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=691

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -23.0% 7D: -3.9% 15D: 9.3% 30D: 14.3%

Model insight

KV Vesturbaer – Reynir Sandgerdi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 691 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample182

Win Rate49.5%

Profit+4.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	LAUTP - MP II	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	Salford City - Dundee Utd	2.20	-3.85%
WIN	Standard Liege - Juventus	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	Fluminense De Feira U20 - Bahia U20	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	Atletico Colegiales - 29 de Septiembre FBC	2.00	-1.48%
WIN	Eastleigh - Crawley Town	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	KJP - HaPK	2.20	-1.48%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
O'Higgins - Boca Juniors	2	2.10	-3.85%	29 Jul 22:00
Gimnasia LP - River Plate	2	2.10	-1.48%	30 Jul 00:15
Newell's - Boca Juniors	2	2.20	-1.48%	02 Aug 22:00

Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Lug 29, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=691

Start

Starts in 1h 53m

Updated

Updated 23h 23m ago