NK Kustosija vs Karlovac
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is NK Kustosija. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NK KustosijaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.049 | A: -0.077Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.87% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. NK Kustosija is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
NK Kustosija – Karlovac Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3.94 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | Lyn 1896 U19 - Molde U19 | 3.90 | 5.87% |
| WIN | HUSA Agadir - RSB Berkane | 3.82 | 5.87% |
| LOSS | El Salvador (W) - Costa Rica (W) | 3.70 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | Club 9 de Octubre - Manta FC | 3.70 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | Wil 1900 - FC Vaduz | 3.60 | 6.76% |