Unionistas de Salamanca CF – Burgos

Model: TipTromba4H

Unionistas de Salamanca CF vs Burgos

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 29, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 13h 12m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Unionistas de Salamanca CF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Unionistas de Salamanca CFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.150

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.95Now
Max odds3.95Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Unionistas de Salamanca CFHOME
VS
BurgosAWAY
LWDWL
Recent form
WDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.20
Shots on target for
4.40
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
2.40
Home splitL-W-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -8.1% 7D: -6.9% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 14.3%
Model insight

Unionistas de Salamanca CF – Burgos Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate36.5%
Profit+21.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDoncaster - Wolverhampton3.603.99%
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LOSSHereford FC - Solihull Moors3.754.09%
LOSSIDBDC Albinegro SA U19 - Independiente Santa Fe U193.603.99%
WINYmir Kopavogur - KH Hlidarendi3.754.09%
LOSSFK Egnatia - NK Celje3.603.99%
LOSSLNZ Lebedyn - Gent3.503.99%
LOSSWalsall - Aston Villa3.754.09%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Magic United - Brisbane Olympic FC13.504.85%02 Aug 06:30
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Lug 29, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Started 13h 12m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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