Model: TipTromba3H

Sunderland vs Leeds

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 31, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 18h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.55% · n=255

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sunderland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SunderlandGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.56Now

Max odds2.56Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SunderlandHOME

LeedsAWAY

LWWWD

Recent form

LLWDW

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

5.40

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.40

Home splitW-D-L-W0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-D-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.55% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.55% · n=255

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Sunderland has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Sunderland has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 4.7% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 12.8% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Sunderland – Leeds Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.55% across 255 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample115

Win Rate36.5%

Profit-5.40u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Cesar Vallejo - Union Comercio	2.55	2.55%
WIN	PK-37 - KUPS Akatemia II	2.63	2.55%
LOSS	Keilor Park - Bayside Argonauts FC	2.50	2.55%
LOSS	South Shields - Harrogate Town	2.60	2.55%
LOSS	Sydney United 58 - Central Coast Mariners	2.50	2.55%
LOSS	FK Decic Tuzi - FK Liepaja	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Cristobal Colon JAS - 3 de Noviembre	2.60	2.55%
WIN	Vasas SC - Kisvarda FC	2.60	2.55%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Kedah FA U20 - Kuching City U20	1	2.55	2.55%	29 Jul 10:45

Pick

1 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Lug 31, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.55% • n=255

Start

Starts in 1d 18h

Updated

Updated 6m ago