Fortuna Sittard vs Apoel Nicosia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fortuna Sittard. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Fortuna SittardGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.083 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.89% based on n=604 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Fortuna Sittard. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results.
Fortuna Sittard – Apoel Nicosia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Gold Coast Knights (W) - Lions FC (W) | 1.57 | 6.49% |
| LOSS | Cambridge Utd - Northampton | 1.95 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Vard Haugesund - Sogndal 2 | 1.75 | 7.35% |
| LOSS | CD Arabe Unido Reserves - Panama City FC | 1.90 | 6.89% |
| LOSS | Valeriodoce EC - Villa Nova | 1.90 | 6.89% |
| WIN | VfB Stuttgart II - SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.80 | 7.35% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W) | 1.55 | 6.49% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad B - Pau | 1.83 | 6.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJK-j - Sporting Kristina | 1 | 1.91 | 6.89% | 30 Jul 18:00 |
| FC Helsingor - Vanløse | 1 | 1.83 | 6.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Kitzbuhel - FC Lustenau | 1 | 1.67 | 6.49% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| Blacktown City - Sydney FC U21 | 1 | 1.80 | 6.89% | 02 Aug 07:00 |