CF Os Belenenses – Estoril

Model: TipTromba4H

CF Os Belenenses vs Estoril

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 5h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.99% · n=331
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CF Os Belenenses. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CF Os BelenensesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.073 | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.80Now
Max odds3.80Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CF Os BelenensesHOME
VS
EstorilAWAY
LDLWW
Recent form
DLDDD
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
5.80
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
4.40
Home splitD-W-D-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitD-D-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.99% based on n=331 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.99% · n=331
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. CF Os Belenenses has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.6% 7D: -15.7% 15D: 9.5% 30D: 9.4%
Model insight

CF Os Belenenses – Estoril Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.99% and 3.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate36.5%
Profit+21.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUnionistas de Salamanca CF - Burgos3.503.99%
LOSSDoncaster - Wolverhampton3.603.99%
LOSSNewport County - Reading3.754.84%
LOSSHereford FC - Solihull Moors3.754.09%
LOSSIDBDC Albinegro SA U19 - Independiente Santa Fe U193.603.99%
WINYmir Kopavogur - KH Hlidarendi3.754.09%
LOSSFK Egnatia - NK Celje3.603.99%
LOSSLNZ Lebedyn - Gent3.503.99%
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Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.99% • n=331
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.99% • n=331
Start
Starts in 1d 5h
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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