Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Deportivo Recoleta Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Libertad Asuncion Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Libertad Asuncion ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: -0.026Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.78. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Libertad Asuncion Reserves's attacking profile.
Libertad Asuncion Reserves – Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Sekhukhune United FC - Durban City | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1.94 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Braga - Celta Vigo | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves | 1.79 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |