FC Vaduz – St Gallen

Model: TIPPSH

FC Vaduz vs St Gallen

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.38
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 02, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.70% · n=74
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Vaduz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC VaduzGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.094 | A: -0.093

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.04First seen
Current3.38Now
Max odds3.41Highest point
Min odds3.04Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC VaduzHOME
VS
St GallenAWAY
WLWWL
Recent form
LWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
3.20
Shots on target for
4.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
5.40
Home splitW-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-W-W1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.38. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.70% based on n=74 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.38
V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.70% · n=74
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, FC Vaduz shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.1% 7D: -8.4% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 9.2%
Model insight

FC Vaduz – St Gallen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.88% across 230 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.70% across 74 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-1.41u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHume City - Oakleigh Cannons3.27-1.88%
LOSSRio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil3.34-1.88%
WINBenfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC3.27-1.88%
LOSSWuxi Wugo - Qingdao Hainiu3.60-1.88%
LOSSSuva FC - Lautoka FC3.15-2.37%
WINVPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki3.32-1.88%
LOSSDC Power (W) - Sporting JAX (W)3.20-3.20%
LOSSOsasuna U19 - Antiguoko KE U193.13-3.20%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano13.26-1.88%01 Aug 19:00
Pick
1 @ 3.38
Kickoff
Ago 02, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.70% • n=74
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 10m ago
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