Model: TipA1

Ningbo Professional FC vs Guangxi Hengchen

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 4

StartStarted 1d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guangxi Hengchen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guangxi HengchenGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: -0.040

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.35Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ningbo Professional FCHOME

Guangxi HengchenAWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

WDWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

3.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.00

Home splitL-L-W-W-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-D2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 1 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.35

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Guangxi Hengchen. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Guangxi Hengchen's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -9.9% 7D: -9.7% 15D: 4.9% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Ningbo Professional FC – Guangxi Hengchen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample107

Win Rate43.0%

Profit+3.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Mosta FC - Balzan FC	2.40	1.02%
WIN	MaPS - Peimari United	2.45	1.02%
WIN	Gladesville Ravens (W) - Macarthur Rams (W)	2.50	1.02%
WIN	Central Coast Mariners U21 - Inter Lions	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Tai'an Tiankuang	2.40	1.02%
WIN	Argentino Merlo Reserves - UAI Urquiza Reserves	2.25	1.02%
LOSS	Lujan Reserves - Deportivo Espanol Reserves	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Slough - Oxford City	2.38	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Than KSVN (W) - Ha Nam (W)	2	2.40	1.02%	03 Aug 12:00

Pick

2 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Started 1d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 9h ago