Model: TIPPSH

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Jelgava

PREDICTION

@ 2.11

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 43m

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is BFC Daugavpils. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BFC DaugavpilsGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.059 | A: -0.094

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

9/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.99First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.11Highest point

Min odds1.92Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

BFC DaugavpilsHOME

FK JelgavaAWAY

LWDWL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.00

Shots on target for

5.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.20

Home splitW-D-W-D-L0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D-L1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.11. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Latvia Virsliga (lv). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.11

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors BFC Daugavpils. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 26.9% 7D: -3.8% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 8.0%

Model insight

BFC Daugavpils – FK Jelgava Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 2.11

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Starts in 43m

Updated

Updated 1h 20m ago